Horse and TaxesTier 1
at Cardart RDO Store Champs
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.0%
avg ELO +7.5 per match
expected value
54.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1380
· median 1380
· range 1280–1480
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1274
Q3 1485
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 10.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.5% | +23.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.7% | -8.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
